Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Baylor Bears

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1509 · #75 of 240 · 16.0 for, 17.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs PV · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15091500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+3.8
SP+ (2025)
+1.4
Talent composite
723
Returning production
60%

How they play

Pass rate
59%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
71
Possession / game
29:15

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate
#27 · 16%
Passing-down PPA
#27 · +0.42
Power success
#32 · 77%
Interception rate
#36 · 1.8%
Turnovers / game
#130 · 2.00
Rush explosiveness
#99 · 0.90
Third-down conversion
#89 · 38%
Completion %
#87 · 61%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#13 · 1.41
Interceptions forced
#26 · 3.5%
Passing-down PPA
#51 · +0.24
Yards / pass attempt
#52 · 6.8
Power success
#133 · 89%
Havoc rate
#125 · 12.3%
Points / scoring opportunity
#123 · 4.30
Stuff rate forced
#122 · 15%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsAuburn TigersL 16–17+6.5AUB 54%win0.0
Sep 12W2vsPrairie View A&M PanthersBAY 70%
Sep 19W3vsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
Sep 26W4vsColorado Buffaloes
Oct 3W5atArizona State Sun Devils
Oct 17W7vsTCU Horned Frogs
Oct 24W8atKansas Jayhawks
Oct 30W9atUCF Knights
Nov 7W10vsIowa State Cyclones
Nov 14W11at#14 BYU Cougars
Nov 21W12vs#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Nov 28W13at#23 Houston Cougars

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.