UCF (4-3) hosts Baylor (4-3) at Acrisure Bounce House on Oct 30, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.




The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BAY end zone ← 100 yards → UCF end zone
Wind is the direction it blows from. Halftime is about 1 hour 36 minutes in and the end about 3 hours 18 minutes in: a forecast, not a result.
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 137). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
UCF's defense has it in finishing drives, rushing and turnovers.
BAY's defense has it in turnovers, third-down conversion, havoc, passing and rushing.
BAY offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups · UCF defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
UCF offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · BAY defense in 6 (5 by a clear margin)
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 137 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
| Book | UCF spread | Total | BAY ML | UCF ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM (opens BetMGM in a new tab) | -1.5(-108) | 48.5(-102/-115) | -102 | -118 |
| DraftKings (opens DraftKings in a new tab) | -1.5(-105) | 47.5(-115/-105) | -102 | -118 |
| FanDuel (opens FanDuel in a new tab) | -1.5(-104) | 48.5(-105/-115) | -108 | -111 |
| Hard Rock (opens Hard Rock in a new tab) | -1.5(-110) | 48.5(-110/-110) | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars (opens Caesars in a new tab) | -1.5(-106) | 48(-113/-107) | -102 | -117 |
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Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the latest pull). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.
They meet only some seasons (2 of the 4 in our history). BAY have won the last 2.
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 138 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 6 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.