Probetrics — Sports Analytics

UL Monroe Warhawks

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1185 · #236 of 240 · 13.0 for, 62.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at UAB · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

11851500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-28.9
SP+ (2025)
-21.6
Talent composite
505
Returning production
39%

How they play

Pass rate
43%
Standard-down share
63%
Plays / game
52
Possession / game
29:38

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#7 · 1.80
Rush explosiveness
#14 · 1.11
Power success
#28 · 78%
Interception rate
#29 · 1.7%
Havoc rate faced
#133 · 20.5%
Stuff rate
#129 · 25%
Rush success rate
#126 · 36%
Third-down conversion
#123 · 33%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#30 · 3.4%
Rush success rate
#44 · 40%
Rushing PPA / play
#54 · +0.08
Line yards / rush
#56 · 2.83
Takeaways / game
#128 · 0.75
Points / scoring opportunity
#118 · 4.21
Pass explosiveness
#114 · 1.68
Third-down conversion
#108 · 43%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atMississippi State BulldogsL 13–62+28.5MSST 90%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atUAB Blazers+7.5UAB 80%
Sep 19W3vsSE Louisiana Lions
Sep 26W4vsFlorida Atlantic Owls
Oct 3W5atSouth Alabama Jaguars
Oct 17W7vsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
Oct 24W8atTroy Trojans
Oct 31W9vsSouthern Miss Golden Eagles
Nov 7W10atArkansas State Red Wolves
Nov 12W11vsLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Nov 21W12atAppalachian State Mountaineers
Nov 28W13vsMarshall Thundering Herd

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.