Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Florida Atlantic Owls

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1349 · #206 of 240 · 21.0 for, 66.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs NAVY · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13491500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
1.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-6.1
SP+ (2025)
-8.7
Talent composite
593
Returning production
68%

How they play

Pass rate
62%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
62
Possession / game
28:33

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#1 · 0.5%
Completion %
#27 · 66%
Power success
#31 · 77%
Passing-down PPA
#33 · +0.39
Turnovers / game
#135 · 2.42
Yards / rush
#119 · 3.6
Havoc rate faced
#111 · 17.8%
Rushing PPA / play
#107 · +0.04

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#2 · 5.4%
Pass success rate
#76 · 42%
Pass explosiveness
#79 · 1.57
Passing PPA / play
#95 · +0.31
Power success
#132 · 86%
Rushing PPA / play
#132 · +0.25
Takeaways / game
#131 · 0.67
Points / scoring opportunity
#131 · 4.58
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atFlorida GatorsL 21–66+25.5FLA 78%loss+1.0
Sep 12W2vsNavy MidshipmenNAVY 77%
Sep 19W3vsFlorida International Panthers
Sep 26W4atUL Monroe Warhawks
Oct 3W5vsTexas Southern Tigers
Oct 17W7atArmy Black Knights
Oct 24W8vsRice Owls
Oct 29W9atNorth Texas Mean Green
Nov 5W10vsUTSA Roadrunners
Nov 14W11atTulsa Golden Hurricane
Nov 21W12vsSouth Florida Bulls
Nov 27W13atEast Carolina Pirates

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.