Probetrics — Sports Analytics

California Golden Bears

2026: 7-6 (last season) · Elo 1493 · #83 of 240 · 25.3 for, 27.2 against · ATS 5-8

Next: at SYR · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14931500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
60%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
69
Possession / game
30:14

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#25 · 1.6%
Passing-down PPA
#49 · +0.36
Completion %
#50 · 64%
Pass success rate
#57 · 43%
Yards / rush
#132 · 2.8
Rushing PPA / play
#132 · −0.04
Line yards / rush
#119 · 2.64
Rush success rate
#117 · 38%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#10 · 1.40
Passing-down PPA
#15 · +0.16
Passing PPA / play
#23 · +0.14
Yards / pass attempt
#25 · 6.4
Stuff rate forced
#133 · 13%
Power success
#130 · 85%
Line yards / rush
#128 · 3.32
Rushing PPA / play
#121 · +0.21
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsUCLA Bruins+2.5CAL 62%
Sep 12W2atSyracuse Orange-1.5CAL 54%
Sep 19W3vsWagner Seahawks
Sep 25W4vsClemson Tigers
Oct 3W5atUNLV Rebels
Oct 10W6vsVirginia Tech Hokies
Oct 17W7vsWake Forest Demon Deacons
Oct 24W8at#19 SMU Mustangs
Oct 31W9atNC State Wolfpack
Nov 14W11atVirginia Cavaliers
Nov 21W12vsStanford Cardinal
Nov 28W13vsPittsburgh Panthers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.