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NC State (3-4) hosts California (3-5) at Carter-Finley Stadium on Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CAL end zone ← 100 yards → NCSU end zone
Wind is the direction it blows from. Halftime is about 1 hour 36 minutes in and the end about 3 hours 18 minutes in: a forecast, not a result.
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 137). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
CAL has the clear advantage in turnovers; NCSU's defense has it in havoc, rushing and third-down conversion.
NCSU has the clear advantage in third-down conversion, finishing drives, havoc, passing and rushing.
CAL offensevs
NCSU defenseCAL offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
NCSU offensevsCAL defenseNCSU offense ranks better in 6 of 6 matchups (5 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 0
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 137 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
| Book | NCSU spread | Total | CAL ML | NCSU ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM (opens BetMGM in a new tab) | -7(-110) | 56.5(-110/-108) | +210 | -250 |
| DraftKings (opens DraftKings in a new tab) | -7(-112) | 56.5(-112/-108) | +225 | -278 |
| FanDuel (opens FanDuel in a new tab) | -6.5(-122) | 56.5(-115/-105) | +205 | -255 |
| Hard Rock (opens Hard Rock in a new tab) | -6.5(-120) | 56.5(-110/-110) | +225 | -300 |
| Caesars (opens Caesars in a new tab) | -7(-102) | 56.5(-110/-109) | +220 | -275 |
Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.
Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the latest pull). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.
They meet only some seasons (1 of the 4 in our history).
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 138 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 7–8 in 2026, 5–6 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.