
North Texas Mean Green
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1682 · #29 of 240 · 16.0 for, 52.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -11.6
- SP+ (2025)
- +13.8
- Talent composite
- 602
- Returning production
- 3%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 51%
- Standard-down share
- 74%
- Plays / game
- 63
- Possession / game
- 28:23
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Line yards / rush
- #1 · 3.58
- Standard-down PPA
- #1 · +0.33
- Rush success rate
- #2 · 53%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #3 · +0.33
- Interception rate
- #86 · 3.1%
- Turnovers / game
- #84 · 1.36
- Pass explosiveness
- #63 · 1.56
- Power success
- #59 · 73%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Takeaways / game
- #6 · 2.00
- Yards / pass attempt
- #11 · 6.0
- Completion %
- #17 · 56%
- Pass success rate
- #26 · 37%
- Stuff rate forced
- #124 · 14%
- Rush success rate
- #124 · 48%
- Yards / rush
- #120 · 5.0
- Line yards / rush
- #117 · 3.19
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | at | L 16–52 | +39.5 | IU 87% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs | — | +6.5 | UNT 73% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 1W5 | atTulsa Golden Hurricane | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 29W9 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vsUAB Blazers | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.