Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Cincinnati Bearcats

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1579 · #55 of 240 · 34.0 for, 15.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs WCU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15791500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+3.0
SP+ (2025)
+4.5
Talent composite
634
Returning production
8%

How they play

Pass rate
48%
Standard-down share
71%
Plays / game
56
Possession / game
24:17

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#2 · 0.6%
Line yards / rush
#4 · 3.47
Yards / rush
#4 · 5.8
Points / scoring opportunity
#11 · 4.60
Third-down conversion
#81 · 39%
Completion %
#71 · 62%
Pass explosiveness
#41 · 1.60
Turnovers / game
#39 · 1.08

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#42 · 0.91
Pass explosiveness
#45 · 1.50
Yards / rush
#76 · 4.3
Passing PPA / play
#79 · +0.27
Havoc rate
#127 · 12.2%
Line yards / rush
#125 · 3.30
Completion %
#124 · 67%
Stuff rate forced
#123 · 15%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsBoston College EaglesW 34–15-7CIN 66%win0.0
Sep 12W2vsWestern Carolina CatamountsCIN 75%
Sep 19W3vsMiami (OH) RedHawks
Sep 26W4vsKansas State Wildcats
Oct 3W5atArizona Wildcats
Oct 17W7atWest Virginia Mountaineers
Oct 24W8vs#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Oct 31W9vs#21 Utah Utes
Nov 7W10at#23 Houston Cougars
Nov 14W11atIowa State Cyclones
Nov 21W12vsColorado Buffaloes
Nov 28W13at#14 BYU Cougars

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.