Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Auburn Tigers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1566 · #59 of 240 · 17.0 for, 16.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs USM · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15661500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts

How they play

Pass rate
48%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
66
Possession / game
29:26

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Turnovers / game
#4 · 0.67
Rushing PPA / play
#13 · +0.24
Power success
#18 · 80%
Stuff rate
#20 · 15%
Pass explosiveness
#133 · 1.30
Passing PPA / play
#119 · +0.13
Passing-down PPA
#104 · +0.21
Yards / pass attempt
#102 · 6.5

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rushing PPA / play
#2 · −0.11
Line yards / rush
#4 · 2.25
Rush success rate
#5 · 33%
Stuff rate forced
#5 · 26%
Interceptions forced
#132 · 1.0%
Pass success rate
#99 · 44%
Pass explosiveness
#80 · 1.57
Passing PPA / play
#80 · +0.27
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsBaylor BearsW 17–16-6.5AUB 54%win0.0
Sep 12W2vsSouthern Miss Golden EaglesAUB 72%
Sep 19W3vsFlorida Gators+1.5
Sep 26W4vsVanderbilt Commodores
Oct 3W5at#20 Tennessee Volunteers
Oct 17W7at#3 Georgia Bulldogs+16.5
Oct 24W8vs#11 LSU Tigers
Oct 31W9at#9 Ole Miss Rebels
Nov 7W10vsArkansas Razorbacks
Nov 14W11atMississippi State Bulldogs
Nov 21W12vsSamford Bulldogs
Nov 28W13at#13 Alabama Crimson Tide+10

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.