Air Force Falcons
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1476 · #85 of 240 · 34.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- SP+ (2026)
- -3.2
- SP+ (2025)
- -3.2
- Talent composite
- 272
- Returning production
- 57%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 21%
- Standard-down share
- 76%
- Plays / game
- 67
- Possession / game
- 33:52
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Yards / pass attempt
- #1 · 10.6
- Passing PPA / play
- #2 · +0.55
- Pass explosiveness
- #2 · 2.13
- Stuff rate
- #2 · 12%
- Interception rate
- #124 · 4.3%
- Completion %
- #97 · 59%
- Rush explosiveness
- #69 · 0.96
- Passing-down PPA
- #39 · +0.39
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #32 · 1.46
- Interceptions forced
- #89 · 2.1%
- Power success
- #101 · 76%
- Rush success rate
- #109 · 46%
- Passing-down PPA
- #135 · +0.73
- Rushing PPA / play
- #135 · +0.31
- Pass success rate
- #135 · 54%
- Third-down conversion
- #134 · 50%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Duquesne Dukes | W 34–0 | -31.5 | AFA 73%✓ | loss | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs North Dakota State Bison | — | — | NDSU 54% | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Nevada Wolf Pack | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Navy Midshipmen | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Northern Illinois Huskies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs UNLV Rebels | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 23W8 | at Wyoming Cowboys | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs UConn Huskies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Army Black Knights | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vsSan José State Spartans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 20W12 | vs UTEP Miners | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at New Mexico Lobos | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.