Bowling Green Falcons
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1285 · #225 of 240 · 13.0 for, 20.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -15.0
- SP+ (2025)
- -12.6
- Talent composite
- 568
- Returning production
- -6%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 40%
- Standard-down share
- 66%
- Plays / game
- 61
- Possession / game
- 31:19
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #47 · 1.59
- Interception rate
- #55 · 2.1%
- Turnovers / game
- #57 · 1.17
- Stuff rate
- #65 · 19%
- Power success
- #133 · 58%
- Standard-down PPA
- #130 · −0.06
- Passing PPA / play
- #128 · +0.07
- Rush success rate
- #124 · 37%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Stuff rate forced
- #8 · 25%
- Power success
- #9 · 59%
- Havoc rate
- #12 · 19.0%
- Interceptions forced
- #17 · 3.7%
- Rush explosiveness
- #115 · 1.06
- Yards / pass attempt
- #97 · 7.5
- Pass explosiveness
- #94 · 1.60
- Passing PPA / play
- #82 · +0.28
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Tarleton State Texans | L 13–20 | -1.5 | TAR 63% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | +10.5 | NEB 89% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at Iowa State Cyclones | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs South Florida Bulls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Miami (OH) RedHawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vsSacramento State Hornets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs Ball State Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | at Buffalo Bulls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at Western Michigan Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 10W11 | vs Kent State Golden Flashes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 20W12 | at Toledo Rockets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs Massachusetts Minutemen | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.