Bowling Green Falcons

2026 season

9th in the Mid-American · 2-2 in the conference

Next: at WMU · Oct 31

Record

2-6

1-3 home · 1-3 away

Points for / game

18.8

29.8 allowed

Point differential

-11.0

per game

Model winner calls

5/7

locked before kickoff

The Bowling Green Falcons are 2-6 in 2026, scoring 18.8 and allowing 29.8 points a game. Next: at Western Michigan Broncos on Oct 31, 2026.

What to know

Biggest strength

Defense: Sack rate generated ranks #13 of 137 (8.1%).

Biggest weakness

Offense: Explosive rush rate ranks #134 of 137 (7.6%).

Up next

at Western Michigan Broncos · Oct 31 · BGSU +13.5

Season so farHistory

2–6 · avg margin -11.0

TAR

USF

SAC

BGSU · bars scaled to the biggest margin (49).

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Interception rate

1.0%#16

Completion %

66%#38

Power success

76%#44

Pass success rate

45%#50

▼ Weaknesses

Explosive rush rate

7.6%#134

Rush explosiveness

0.65#134

Points added / rush

−0.12#132

Yards / rush

3.2#130

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Sack rate generated

8.1%#13

Interceptions forced

3.3%#26

Power success

68%#49

Third-down conversion

36%#51

▼ Weaknesses

Yards / rush

5.6#133

Rush success rate

50%#129

Points added / rush

+0.18#121

Line yards / rush

3.27#120

How they playHistory

Pass rate

46%

Standard-down share

70%

Plays / game

Early-down pass rate

40%

Neutral-script pass rate

38%

Possession / game

30:52

Ratings

Rating 2026

-15.0

Rating 2025

-12.6

Talent

568

Returning

-6%

Full stat sheetHistory

2026 season

OffenseDefense

Passing

Points added / pass

+0.23#67

+0.22#85

Pass success rate

45%#50

42%#81

Pass explosiveness

1.51#88

1.55#74

Yards / pass attempt

7.2#83

7.4#85

Explosive pass rate

8.5%#106

9.6%#67

Sack rate

4.7%#61

8.1%#13

Completion %

66%#38

66%#116

Interception rate

1.0%#16

3.3%#26

Rushing

Points added / rush

−0.12#132

+0.18#121

Rush success rate

38%#119

50%#129

Rush explosiveness

0.65#134

1.12#120

Line yards / rush

2.73#114

3.27#120

Stuff rate

21%#115

18%#85

Power success

76%#44

68%#49

Yards / rush

3.2#130

5.6#133

Explosive rush rate

7.6%#134

15.8%#113

Situational

Standard-down points added

+0.01#104

+0.12#105

Passing-down points added

+0.02#122

+0.31#105

Third-down conversion

39%#81

36%#51

Red-zone touchdown rate

44%#125

62%#81

Points / scoring opportunity

2.73#126

3.83#98

Havoc rate faced

17.3%#115

13.5%#112

Turnovers / game

1.25#68

1.00#94

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

per game · Last 17 games · 8 in 2026, 9 in 2025

BGSUleague averagesolid = scored · striped = allowed

3.8 / 6.5

5.8 / 8.5

2.6 / 5.4

6.6 / 7.2

1st half

9.5 / 14.9

2nd half

9.7 / 13.0

Game

19.2 / 27.9

Points in the 1st half:BGSU scores 50% · allows 53%league 52%

BGSU trendsHistory

13 games · Oct 2025 – Oct 2026

Record

3-10

13 games

Points for

19.7

#126 of 138 · league 27.6

Points against

26.9

#49 of 138 · league 25.0

Scoring margin

−7.2

#119 of 138 · league +2.5

Regular season only, the last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026) (8 in 2026, 5 in 2025). Every rank is among the 138 teams with a full sample.

Points by quarter and halfHistory

per game · n = 13

Points in the	For	Against	League avg
1st quarter	3.7#121 of 138	5.8#47 of 138	6.0
2nd quarter	6.5#108 of 138	7.6#63 of 138	8.4
3rd quarter	2.9#133 of 138	5.0#78 of 138	6.0
4th quarter	6.0#97 of 138	7.9#29 of 138	7.0
1st half	10.2#121 of 138	13.4#56 of 138	14.4
2nd half	9.5#126 of 138	13.5#43 of 138	13.1

First half against second halfHistory

Measure	BGSU	League	n
Share of points scored in the 1st half	52.0%#71 of 138	52.1%	13
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	49.7%#82 of 138	50.9%	13

PaceHistory

Measure	BGSU	League	n
Plays per game	59.9#126 of 137	65.4	13
Plays faced per game	60.1#119 of 137	64.7	13
Dropback rate	41.8%#123 of 137	48.4%	13

Red zoneHistory

Measure	BGSU	League	n
Red-zone trips per game	2.46#129 of 137	3.53	13
Red-zone touchdown rate	43.8%#132 of 137	57.7%	13
Red-zone trips allowed per game	2.85#106 of 137	3.29	13
Red-zone touchdown rate allowed	59.5%#46 of 137	55.3%	13

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

BGSU	Games	Record	Points for	Points against	Scoring margin	Plays per game
All games	13	3-10	19.7#126 of 138	26.9#49 of 138	−7.2#119 of 138	59.9#126 of 137
At home	6	1-5	17.8#136 of 138	20.5#81 of 138	−2.7#120 of 138	63.3#97 of 138
On the road	7	2-5	21.3#87 of 138	32.4#42 of 138	−11.1#99 of 138	57.0#126 of 137
Last 5 games	5	2-3	24.6#91 of 138	21.4#92 of 138	+3.2#65 of 138	59.2#126 of 138
Short rest	0	—	——	——	——	——
Normal rest	11	3-8	20.6#123 of 138	28.3#44 of 138	−7.6#117 of 138	58.5#129 of 138
Long rest	1	0-1	16.0—	19.0—	−3.0—	69.0—

Neutral-site games count as neither home nor road. A slice with few games moves a lot from one game; read it with its n.

Every team's trends, sortable → · This season's games only →

Roster · 2026 · 20

All BGSU players

Quarterbacks · 2: Jay Kastantin Austin Novosad
Running Backs · 7: Austyn Dendy Nakai Amachree Leo Kemp Ke'Marion Baldwin Tristin Blackmon Carson Lovett Marceles Carey
Wide Receivers · 7: Winn Sharp Brennan Ridley Joseph Saffold Trey Johnson Isaiah Dawson Nicholas Sowell Pauly Sadler
Tight Ends · 4: Jeremiah Scoby Eli Jacon-Duffy Blane Cleaver Kentrell White

Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Bowling Green Falcons

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

BGSU trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 20

Bowling Green Falcons

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

BGSU trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 20

Bowling Green Falcons

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiBGSU's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiBGSU's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for BGSU: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

BGSU trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 20iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

Bowling Green Falcons

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiBGSU's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiBGSU's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for BGSU: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

BGSU trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 20iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

BGSU trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 20

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

BGSU trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 20