Probetrics — Sports Analytics
College Football slate
Tarleton State Texans at Bowling Green Falcons
Sat, Sep 5, 12:00 PM ET · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · 78°
No line
Locks when a line posts.

Power ratings

TeamEloOffDefSOSGP
Tarleton State Texans1469-2.1-1.50
Bowling Green Falcons1377-6.41.10

Off/Def are points above league average scored / prevented, opponent-adjusted. SOS is the mean Elo of opponents faced this season.

How the margin was built

Rating gap
Home field
BGSU +— pts
Rest
Even
Weather / roof
— pts on the total
Model margin
Market spread
Model total
Moneyline

Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.