Ball State Cardinals
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1180 · #237 of 240 · 3.0 for, 56.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -25.1
- SP+ (2025)
- -23.0
- Talent composite
- 564
- Returning production
- 6%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 42%
- Standard-down share
- 64%
- Plays / game
- 56
- Possession / game
- 29:44
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #23 · 1.09
- Pass explosiveness
- #64 · 1.55
- Turnovers / game
- #80 · 1.33
- Interception rate
- #93 · 3.2%
- Passing PPA / play
- #135 · −0.03
- Havoc rate faced
- #134 · 21.0%
- Power success
- #132 · 58%
- Rush success rate
- #132 · 34%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Power success
- #17 · 63%
- Stuff rate forced
- #41 · 21%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #59 · 3.57
- Completion %
- #69 · 62%
- Yards / rush
- #111 · 4.8
- Rush success rate
- #111 · 47%
- Yards / pass attempt
- #108 · 7.7
- Havoc rate
- #104 · 14.0%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | at #1 Ohio State Buckeyes | L 3–56 | +49.5 | OSU 98% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Stony Brook Seawolves | — | — | STBK 68% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at Liberty Flames | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Kent State Golden Flashes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Toledo Rockets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Northwestern Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Bowling Green Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vsSacramento State Hornets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 4W10 | at Massachusetts Minutemen | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 11W11 | vs Buffalo Bulls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 17W12 | at Ohio Bobcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs Central Michigan Chippewas | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.