Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Kentucky Wildcats

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1570 · #58 of 240 · 45.0 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs ALA · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15701500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
SP+ (2026)
+5.2
SP+ (2025)
+1.8
Talent composite
787
Returning production
19%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
58
Possession / game
30:38

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate
#50 · 18%
Line yards / rush
#51 · 3.05
Rush success rate
#53 · 45%
Points / scoring opportunity
#56 · 3.84
Passing-down PPA
#133 · +0.02
Turnovers / game
#126 · 1.83
Rush explosiveness
#124 · 0.82
Havoc rate faced
#109 · 17.7%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#11 · 3.9%
Yards / rush
#32 · 3.7
Rush explosiveness
#40 · 0.90
Power success
#44 · 68%
Yards / pass attempt
#116 · 8.0
Pass success rate
#113 · 45%
Points / scoring opportunity
#99 · 3.98
Passing PPA / play
#98 · +0.31
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsYoungstown State PenguinsW 45–13-22.5UK 70%loss
Sep 12W2vs#13 Alabama Crimson Tide+10ALA 69%
Sep 19W3at#8 Texas A&M Aggies
Sep 26W4vsSouth Alabama Jaguars
Oct 3W5atSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Oct 10W6vs#11 LSU Tigers
Oct 17W7at#10 Oklahoma Sooners
Oct 24W8vsVanderbilt Commodores
Nov 7W10at#20 Tennessee Volunteers
Nov 14W11vsFlorida Gators
Nov 21W12at#25 Missouri Tigers
Nov 28W13vs#24 Louisville Cardinals

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.