Probetrics — Sports Analytics

South Alabama Jaguars

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1462 · #97 of 240 · 39.0 for, 14.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at TULN · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14621500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts

How they play

Pass rate
38%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
70
Possession / game
31:09

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#12 · 68%
Stuff rate
#26 · 16%
Havoc rate faced
#31 · 13.0%
Turnovers / game
#33 · 1.00
Pass success rate
#92 · 40%
Pass explosiveness
#81 · 1.53
Passing PPA / play
#78 · +0.23
Yards / pass attempt
#77 · 7.0

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass success rate
#48 · 40%
Rush explosiveness
#49 · 0.92
Completion %
#56 · 61%
Third-down conversion
#57 · 38%
Power success
#135 · 91%
Pass explosiveness
#128 · 1.77
Points / scoring opportunity
#126 · 4.35
Standard-down PPA
#114 · +0.17
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsSE Louisiana LionsW 39–14-13.5USA 65%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atTulane Green Wave+10TULN 71%
Sep 19W3vsOhio Bobcats
Sep 26W4atKentucky Wildcats
Oct 3W5vsUL Monroe Warhawks
Oct 8W6atArkansas State Red Wolves
Oct 20W8atMarshall Thundering Herd
Oct 31W9vsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
Nov 7W10atLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Nov 14W11vsTroy Trojans
Nov 21W12atSouthern Miss Golden Eagles
Nov 27W13vsAppalachian State Mountaineers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.