Ole Miss Rebels
2026: 13-2 (last season) · Elo 1868 · #7 of 240 · 36.9 for, 21.1 against · ATS 9-6
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +16.5
- SP+ (2025)
- +24.0
- Talent composite
- 886
- Returning production
- 50%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 49%
- Standard-down share
- 72%
- Plays / game
- 67
- Possession / game
- 28:46
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass success rate
- #7 · 51%
- Passing-down PPA
- #7 · +0.53
- Passing PPA / play
- #8 · +0.46
- Yards / pass attempt
- #10 · 9.0
- Stuff rate
- #105 · 21%
- Line yards / rush
- #99 · 2.79
- Rush explosiveness
- #66 · 0.96
- Pass explosiveness
- #60 · 1.56
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Passing PPA / play
- #20 · +0.13
- Completion %
- #20 · 57%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #24 · 3.10
- Pass success rate
- #29 · 38%
- Rush explosiveness
- #119 · 1.08
- Rushing PPA / play
- #115 · +0.19
- Takeaways / game
- #106 · 1.00
- Interceptions forced
- #106 · 1.7%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6W1 | vs #24 Louisville Cardinals | — | -6.5 | MISS 72% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Charlotte 49ers | — | — | MISS 98% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs #11 LSU Tigers | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Florida Gators | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Vanderbilt Commodores | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs #25 Missouri Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | at #5 Texas Longhorns | — | +8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vsAuburn Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs #3 Georgia Bulldogs | — | +4.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at #10 Oklahoma Sooners | — | +4 | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Wofford Terriers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W13 | vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | — | -14.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.