← College Football slate
Wofford Terriers
0-1 last yr · #131 Elo
at
Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Ole Miss Rebels
13-2 last yr · #7 Elo
Spread —Total —Moneyline —
The read
On rating alone Ole Miss Rebels are 24.2 points better (#7 vs #131 of 240), and MISS add 0.0 for home field.
Who has the edge
Rating
Clear edge
MISS
MISS rated 24.2 points better on Elo (#7 vs #131).
Home & rest
Even
—
MISS gets 0.0 points for home field.
Passing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Rushing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Third down & red zone
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Form (last 5)
Clear edge
MISS
MISS +12.2 per game over the last five, WOF −32.0.
context · not in the margin
Market
not priced
—
No line yet.
context · not in the margin
The margin, factor by factor
Wofford TerriersOle Miss Rebels
1432 Elo · #131
RatingThe Elo gap in points — the model's core read on who is better, before the situational pieces below.
MISS +24.2 pts
1868 Elo · #7
road
Home field
not priced
home
—
Rest
even
—
−12.8 pts vs MISS D
Offense vs defenseEach offense's scoring rating against the other defense's — what drives the model total. Shown as an edge, though the winner call runs on Elo.
MISS +29.8 pts
+17.0 pts vs WOF D
L · −32.0
Form (last 5)Average margin over the last five games. Already inside the ratings — listed so you can see when recent form and the rating disagree.
MISS +22.1 pts
L W W W W · +12.2
—
MarketThe consensus spread, read as points. Compare with the model margin above it.
not priced
—
Bars are in points toward the favored side. Blue factors are inside the model's margin; grey ones are context it does not add on top (form and offense/defense are already in the ratings; injuries beyond the quarterback are not priced).
Dissect the matchup
CollegeFootballData, garbage time excluded · 2025 season (last season until three games are in)Season
| WOF | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 13-2 |
| 6.0 | Points for / game | 36.9 |
| 38.0 | Points against / game | 21.1 |
| 0-0 / 0-1 | Home / road | 9-1 / 4-1 |
| 1-0 | Against the spread | 9-6 |
| 0-1 | Over / underOvers–unders in this team's games. A tendency, not a lean. | 8-7 |
| L | Last 5 | L W W W W |
Season numbers are from 2025 until this season has games.
Power ratings
| WOF | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1432 | Elo | 1868 |
| #131 of 240 | Rank | #7 of 240 |
| −3.8 | Offense ratingPoints per game above league average scored, opponent-adjusted. | +14.0 |
| −3.0 | Defense ratingPoints per game below league average allowed, opponent-adjusted. Positive is good. | +9.0 |
| — | Strength of scheduleMean Elo of opponents faced this season. | — |
Elo drives the winner call. Offense/defense ratings drive the total.
Head to head
No meetings in our history.
How the margin was built
- Rating gap
- MISS +24.2 pts
- Home field
- MISS +— pts
- Rest
- Even
- Weather / roof
- — pts on the total
- Model margin
- —
- Model total
- —
Market
- Spread
- —
- Total
- —
- Moneyline
- —
Per-book prices appear once the multi-book feed has this game (about a week out).
Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.