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North Carolina Tar Heels

2026 season

7th in the ACC · 2-2 in the conference

Next: vs MIA · Oct 31→

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-3 in 2026, scoring 24.4 and allowing 20.9 points a game. Next: vs Miami Hurricanes on Oct 31, 2026.

OverviewScheduleStatsTrends

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

4–3 · avg margin 3.6

+5@TCU

+32ETSU

-8@CLEM

-11ND

+4@PITT

+4@DUKE

-1SYR

UNC · bars scaled to the biggest margin (32).

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiUNC's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Power success?Conversion rate on 3rd/4th and ≤2, or goal-to-go from the 2.

85%#8

Stuff rate?Rushes stopped at or behind the line.

16%#35

Pass success rate

47%#37

Line yards / rush?Rushing yards credited to the offensive line. Defense column: what it allows.

3.10#54

▼ Weaknesses

Rush explosiveness

0.77#126

Pass explosiveness?Average points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.

1.38#120

Yards / rush

3.9#106

Turnovers / game

1.43#100

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiUNC's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Explosive rush rate?Rushes of 10+ yards. All plays.

8.2%#8

Pass explosiveness?Average points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.

1.36#11

Passing-down points added?Points added per play in obvious passing situations (2nd & 8+, 3rd/4th & 5+).

+0.03#20

Explosive pass rate?Dropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.

7.2%#23

▼ Weaknesses

Stuff rate forced?Rushes stopped at or behind the line.

11%#135

Havoc rate?TFLs, forced fumbles, interceptions and passes defensed per play.

12.7%#122

Power success?Conversion rate on 3rd/4th and ≤2, or goal-to-go from the 2.

80%#115

Third-down conversion

43%#114

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

Pass rate

53%

Standard-down share

70%

Plays / game

58

Early-down pass rate

50%

Neutral-script pass rate

51%

Possession / game

27:11

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

Rating 2026

+3.5

Rating 2025

-6.6

Talent

768

Returning

28%

Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.