Arkansas State Red Wolves
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1378 · #186 of 240 · 24.0 for, 42.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 1-0
- Avg CLV
- 0.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- -11.6
- SP+ (2025)
- -8.8
- Talent composite
- 606
- Returning production
- 30%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 56%
- Standard-down share
- 70%
- Plays / game
- 73
- Possession / game
- 29:31
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interception rate
- #20 · 1.4%
- Completion %
- #30 · 66%
- Pass success rate
- #47 · 44%
- Third-down conversion
- #74 · 39%
- Rush explosiveness
- #126 · 0.80
- Rushing PPA / play
- #124 · −0.01
- Turnovers / game
- #122 · 1.77
- Pass explosiveness
- #121 · 1.40
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interceptions forced
- #37 · 3.1%
- Line yards / rush
- #44 · 2.75
- Power success
- #49 · 69%
- Stuff rate forced
- #64 · 19%
- Completion %
- #131 · 68%
- Passing-down PPA
- #118 · +0.42
- Yards / pass attempt
- #118 · 8.1
- Passing PPA / play
- #99 · +0.31
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | at Memphis Tigers | L 24–42 | +10.5 | MEM 83%✓ | win | 0.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | vs West Georgia Wolves | — | — | WES 50% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at TCU Horned Frogs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Kennesaw State Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 8W6 | vsSouth Alabama Jaguars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs Georgia State Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs UL Monroe Warhawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs Troy Trojans | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.