Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Wisconsin Badgers

2026: 4-8 (last season) · Elo 1456 · #104 of 240 · 12.8 for, 21.6 against · ATS 6-6

Next: at ND · Sep 6

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14561500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+3.8
SP+ (2025)
-4.4
Talent composite
768
Returning production
31%

How they play

Pass rate
42%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
51
Possession / game
30:38

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#34 · 1.05
Interception rate
#39 · 1.8%
Stuff rate
#71 · 19%
Turnovers / game
#83 · 1.33
Points / scoring opportunity
#134 · 2.28
Standard-down PPA
#133 · −0.08
Rush success rate
#131 · 34%
Passing PPA / play
#130 · +0.03

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#11 · 1.40
Interceptions forced
#13 · 3.8%
Rush explosiveness
#15 · 0.86
Yards / rush
#17 · 3.4
Takeaways / game
#134 · 0.50
Completion %
#134 · 70%
Havoc rate
#119 · 12.9%
Pass success rate
#118 · 46%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 6W1vs#4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish+20.5ND 91%
Sep 12W2vsWestern Illinois LeathernecksWIS 69%
Sep 19W3vsEastern Michigan Eagles
Sep 26W4at#18 Penn State Nittany Lions
Oct 3W5vsMichigan State Spartans
Oct 17W7atUCLA Bruins
Oct 24W8vs#14 USC Trojans
Oct 31W9at#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Nov 7W10vsRutgers Scarlet Knights
Nov 14W11atMaryland Terrapins
Nov 21W12atPurdue Boilermakers
Nov 27W13vsMinnesota Golden Gophers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.