Virginia Cavaliers
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1701 · #24 of 240 · 34.0 for, 8.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +8.1
- SP+ (2025)
- +11.1
- Talent composite
- 700
- Returning production
- 10%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 49%
- Standard-down share
- 68%
- Plays / game
- 69
- Possession / game
- 32:16
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Power success
- #11 · 81%
- Third-down conversion
- #11 · 50%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #30 · +0.19
- Rush explosiveness
- #31 · 1.06
- Yards / pass attempt
- #90 · 6.8
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #82 · 3.56
- Interception rate
- #78 · 2.8%
- Pass success rate
- #77 · 41%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Third-down conversion
- #2 · 28%
- Passing-down PPA
- #8 · +0.11
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #18 · 3.01
- Pass success rate
- #22 · 37%
- Power success
- #72 · 71%
- Stuff rate forced
- #68 · 19%
- Interceptions forced
- #64 · 2.4%
- Takeaways / game
- #47 · 1.43
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29W1 | vs NC State Wolfpack | W 34–8 | -4 | UVA 66% | — | — |
| Sep 11W2 | vs Norfolk State Spartans | — | -43.5 | UVA 89% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs West Virginia Mountaineers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Delaware Blue Hens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Florida State Seminoles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs Syracuse Orange | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #19 SMU Mustangs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 23W8 | vs Duke Blue Devils | — | -6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vsCalifornia Golden Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs North Carolina Tar Heels | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Virginia Tech Hokies | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.