Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Texas Longhorns

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1787 · #13 of 240 · 59.0 for, 7.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs OSU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17871500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+22.8
SP+ (2025)
+16.2
Talent composite
985
Returning production
72%

How they play

Pass rate
51%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
61
Possession / game
28:30

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Turnovers / game
#6 · 0.69
Pass explosiveness
#11 · 1.75
Passing-down PPA
#26 · +0.43
Yards / pass attempt
#40 · 7.8
Stuff rate
#119 · 22%
Power success
#115 · 63%
Interception rate
#112 · 3.8%
Standard-down PPA
#102 · +0.05

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#5 · 57%
Rush explosiveness
#12 · 0.84
Yards / rush
#12 · 3.1
Third-down conversion
#18 · 33%
Interceptions forced
#120 · 1.5%
Completion %
#78 · 63%
Points / scoring opportunity
#76 · 3.77
Passing PPA / play
#53 · +0.20
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsTexas State BobcatsW 59–7-29.5TEX 78%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vs#1 Ohio State Buckeyes-1.5OSU 62%
Sep 19W3vsUTSA Roadrunners
Sep 26W4at#20 Tennessee Volunteers-6.5
Oct 10W6vs#10 Oklahoma Sooners-6
Oct 17W7vsFlorida Gators
Oct 24W8vs#9 Ole Miss Rebels-8.5
Oct 31W9vsMississippi State Bulldogs
Nov 7W10at#25 Missouri Tigers
Nov 14W11at#11 LSU Tigers-2.5
Nov 21W12vsArkansas Razorbacks
Nov 27W13at#8 Texas A&M Aggies-2.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.