Probetrics — Sports Analytics

West Virginia Mountaineers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1441 · #123 of 240 · 31.0 for, 24.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs UTM · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14411500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-1.3
SP+ (2025)
-6.8
Talent composite
708
Returning production
14%

How they play

Pass rate
42%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
62
Possession / game
26:19

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#24 · 1.69
Yards / pass attempt
#83 · 6.9
Havoc rate faced
#85 · 16.0%
Points / scoring opportunity
#86 · 3.53
Third-down conversion
#133 · 30%
Pass success rate
#129 · 34%
Rushing PPA / play
#125 · −0.02
Power success
#120 · 62%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Line yards / rush
#8 · 2.42
Stuff rate forced
#19 · 23%
Standard-down PPA
#23 · +0.02
Rushing PPA / play
#25 · +0.02
Pass explosiveness
#124 · 1.73
Passing-down PPA
#121 · +0.42
Yards / pass attempt
#120 · 8.2
Completion %
#107 · 65%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsCoastal Carolina ChanticleersW 31–24-21WVU 70%
Sep 12W2vsUT Martin SkyhawksWVU 69%
Sep 19W3vsVirginia Cavaliers
Sep 26W4vsOklahoma State Cowboys
Oct 3W5atIowa State Cyclones
Oct 10W6vsArizona Wildcats
Oct 17W7vsCincinnati Bearcats
Oct 24W8atTCU Horned Frogs
Nov 7W10at#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Nov 14W11vsKansas Jayhawks
Nov 21W12vs#23 Houston Cougars
Nov 27W13at#21 Utah Utes

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.