Louisville Cardinals
2026: 9-4 (last season) · Elo 1691 · #25 of 240 · 29.9 for, 21.2 against · ATS 4-9
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +11.1
- SP+ (2025)
- +12.4
- Talent composite
- 740
- Returning production
- 35%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 53%
- Standard-down share
- 72%
- Plays / game
- 60
- Possession / game
- 30:12
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush success rate
- #9 · 50%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #21 · +0.21
- Yards / rush
- #26 · 5.1
- Rush explosiveness
- #28 · 1.08
- Pass explosiveness
- #130 · 1.36
- Passing-down PPA
- #123 · +0.14
- Stuff rate
- #121 · 23%
- Passing PPA / play
- #118 · +0.13
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Passing PPA / play
- #6 · +0.06
- Pass explosiveness
- #7 · 1.36
- Passing-down PPA
- #9 · +0.11
- Yards / pass attempt
- #10 · 6.0
- Power success
- #99 · 75%
- Interceptions forced
- #84 · 2.2%
- Rush explosiveness
- #62 · 0.95
- Stuff rate forced
- #52 · 20%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6W1 | vs #9 Ole Miss Rebels | — | +6.5 | MISS 72% | — | — |
| Sep 11W2 | vs Villanova Wildcats | — | -35.5 | LOU 82% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs #19 SMU Mustangs | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at NC State Wolfpack | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 9W6 | vs Florida State Seminoles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Syracuse Orange | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vsStanford Cardinal | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at North Carolina Tar Heels | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Pittsburgh Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Kentucky Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.