Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Missouri Tigers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1715 · #21 of 240 · 54.0 for, 14.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at KU · Sep 11

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17151500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+15.4
SP+ (2025)
+14.4
Talent composite
808
Returning production
42%

How they play

Pass rate
43%
Standard-down share
71%
Plays / game
67
Possession / game
31:51

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#1 · 89%
Rushing PPA / play
#15 · +0.23
Yards / rush
#17 · 5.3
Rush success rate
#21 · 48%
Pass explosiveness
#114 · 1.43
Passing PPA / play
#107 · +0.18
Yards / pass attempt
#91 · 6.8
Turnovers / game
#76 · 1.31

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Standard-down PPA
#7 · −0.08
Rush success rate
#8 · 36%
Havoc rate
#8 · 19.8%
Yards / pass attempt
#9 · 5.9
Takeaways / game
#109 · 0.92
Pass explosiveness
#81 · 1.58
Rush explosiveness
#65 · 0.95
Passing-down PPA
#60 · +0.27
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 3W1vsArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsW 54–14-55.5MIZ 87%
Sep 11W2atKansas Jayhawks-6.5MIZ 60%
Sep 19W3vsTroy Trojans
Sep 26W4atMississippi State Bulldogs
Oct 3W5vsFlorida Gators
Oct 10W6vs#8 Texas A&M Aggies
Oct 17W7at#9 Ole Miss Rebels
Oct 31W9atArkansas Razorbacks
Nov 7W10vs#5 Texas Longhorns
Nov 14W11at#3 Georgia Bulldogs
Nov 21W12vsKentucky Wildcats
Nov 28W13vs#10 Oklahoma Sooners

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.