Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Western Michigan Broncos

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1508 · #77 of 240 · 12.0 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs MONM · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15081500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-6.0
SP+ (2025)
-1.4
Talent composite
572
Returning production
100%

How they play

Pass rate
33%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
61
Possession / game
32:35

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Havoc rate faced
#20 · 12.4%
Line yards / rush
#25 · 3.17
Stuff rate
#29 · 16%
Rush success rate
#31 · 47%
Passing PPA / play
#124 · +0.10
Interception rate
#121 · 3.9%
Passing-down PPA
#120 · +0.15
Pass explosiveness
#119 · 1.41

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing PPA / play
#11 · +0.10
Completion %
#11 · 55%
Passing-down PPA
#12 · +0.12
Third-down conversion
#12 · 31%
Interceptions forced
#118 · 1.5%
Rush explosiveness
#97 · 1.02
Stuff rate forced
#95 · 17%
Power success
#85 · 73%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1at#16 Michigan WolverinesL 12–13+27.5MICH 77%win0.0
Sep 12W2vsMonmouth HawksWMU 65%
Sep 19W3atRice Owls
Sep 26W4vsBoise State Broncos
Oct 3W5atBuffalo Bulls
Oct 10W6vsKent State Golden Flashes
Oct 17W7atCentral Michigan Chippewas
Oct 24W8atToledo Rockets
Oct 31W9vsBowling Green Falcons
Nov 10W11atAkron Zips
Nov 17W12vsEastern Michigan Eagles
Nov 24W13vsMiami (OH) RedHawks

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.