Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1490 · #84 of 240 · 27.0 for, 37.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs UNLV · Sep 5

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14901500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-2.6
SP+ (2025)
+1.7
Talent composite
557
Returning production
65%

How they play

Pass rate
62%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
67
Possession / game
31:57

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Havoc rate faced
#15 · 12.2%
Interception rate
#23 · 1.5%
Third-down conversion
#29 · 45%
Completion %
#40 · 65%
Power success
#130 · 59%
Rush success rate
#116 · 38%
Rushing PPA / play
#116 · +0.02
Yards / rush
#108 · 3.7

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#36 · 59%
Standard-down PPA
#36 · +0.04
Interceptions forced
#39 · 3.0%
Points / scoring opportunity
#39 · 3.35
Passing-down PPA
#124 · +0.43
Power success
#122 · 81%
Line yards / rush
#119 · 3.21
Stuff rate forced
#115 · 16%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Aug 29W1atStanford CardinalL 27–37+4.5HAW 51%
Sep 5W1vsUNLV Rebels+2.5HAW 52%
Sep 12W2vsNew Mexico State Aggies-11.5HAW 82%
Sep 26W4atWyoming Cowboys
Oct 3W5vsSan José State Spartans
Oct 10W6atArizona State Sun Devils
Oct 17W7vsNew Mexico Lobos
Oct 24W8atNorthern Illinois Huskies
Nov 7W10atUTEP Miners
Nov 14W11vsNorth Dakota State Bison
Nov 21W12atNevada Wolf Pack
Nov 28W13vsSacramento State Hornets

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.