Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Vanderbilt Commodores

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1807 · #11 of 240 · 28.0 for, 9.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs DEL · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

18071500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
1.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+9.8
SP+ (2025)
+20.3
Talent composite
727
Returning production
35%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
74%
Plays / game
57
Possession / game
31:18

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing PPA / play
#1 · +0.55
Rushing PPA / play
#1 · +0.35
Passing-down PPA
#1 · +0.78
Rush explosiveness
#2 · 1.21
Pass explosiveness
#74 · 1.54
Interception rate
#48 · 2.0%
Power success
#38 · 76%
Havoc rate faced
#28 · 12.9%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Line yards / rush
#24 · 2.66
Yards / rush
#30 · 3.7
Stuff rate forced
#31 · 22%
Rushing PPA / play
#32 · +0.04
Completion %
#123 · 67%
Passing PPA / play
#114 · +0.35
Third-down conversion
#111 · 43%
Passing-down PPA
#108 · +0.38
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsAustin Peay GovernorsW 28–9-28.5VAN 89%win+1.0
Sep 12W2vsDelaware Blue Hens-21.5VAN 93%
Sep 19W3vsNC State Wolfpack
Sep 26W4atAuburn Tigers
Oct 3W5at#3 Georgia Bulldogs
Oct 10W6vs#9 Ole Miss Rebels
Oct 17W7vsArkansas Razorbacks
Oct 24W8atKentucky Wildcats
Nov 7W10atMississippi State Bulldogs
Nov 14W11vs#13 Alabama Crimson Tide
Nov 21W12atFlorida Gators
Nov 28W13vs#20 Tennessee Volunteers+3

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.