Navy Midshipmen
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1636 · #38 of 240 · 42.0 for, 15.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 1-0
- Avg CLV
- 0.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- +1.2
- SP+ (2025)
- +6.2
- Talent composite
- 196
- Returning production
- 14%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 23%
- Standard-down share
- 77%
- Plays / game
- 62
- Possession / game
- 32:37
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Stuff rate
- #1 · 11%
- Pass explosiveness
- #3 · 2.01
- Yards / rush
- #3 · 5.8
- Havoc rate faced
- #3 · 9.2%
- Interception rate
- #115 · 3.8%
- Completion %
- #107 · 58%
- Pass success rate
- #58 · 42%
- Turnovers / game
- #43 · 1.08
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush success rate
- #26 · 39%
- Line yards / rush
- #59 · 2.85
- Yards / rush
- #59 · 4.1
- Third-down conversion
- #66 · 39%
- Havoc rate
- #123 · 12.5%
- Passing PPA / play
- #118 · +0.37
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #115 · 4.20
- Yards / pass attempt
- #115 · 8.0
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Towson Tigers | W 42–15 | -31.5 | NAVY 86%✓ | win | 0.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | at Florida Atlantic Owls | — | — | NAVY 77% | — | — |
| Sep 25W4 | atUAB Blazers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Air Force Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vsTulsa Golden Hurricane | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at UTSA Roadrunners | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs North Texas Mean Green | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs #4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Temple Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Memphis Tigers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Charlotte 49ers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 12W15 | vs Army Black Knights | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.