Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2026: 10-2 (last season) · Elo 1869 · #6 of 240 · 42.0 for, 17.6 against · ATS 6-6
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +26.5
- SP+ (2025)
- +24.4
- Talent composite
- 953
- Returning production
- 51%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 45%
- Standard-down share
- 71%
- Plays / game
- 52
- Possession / game
- 29:18
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Yards / pass attempt
- #2 · 9.5
- Yards / rush
- #2 · 5.9
- Passing-down PPA
- #3 · +0.65
- Pass success rate
- #6 · 51%
- Interception rate
- #134 · 6.5%
- Power success
- #121 · 62%
- Stuff rate
- #99 · 20%
- Line yards / rush
- #50 · 3.05
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #6 · 2.58
- Passing PPA / play
- #8 · +0.09
- Yards / rush
- #10 · 3.0
- Takeaways / game
- #12 · 1.92
- Interceptions forced
- #121 · 1.5%
- Pass explosiveness
- #92 · 1.60
- Stuff rate forced
- #74 · 18%
- Power success
- #65 · 71%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6W1 | vs Wisconsin Badgers | — | -20.5 | ND 91% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Rice Owls | — | -44.5 | ND 96% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Michigan State Spartans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Purdue Boilermakers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at North Carolina Tar Heels | — | -23.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vsStanford Cardinal | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #14 BYU Cougars | — | -10 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Navy Midshipmen | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs #7 Miami Hurricanes | — | -6.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Boston College Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs #19 SMU Mustangs | — | -17.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Syracuse Orange | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.