Probetrics — Sports Analytics

USC Trojans

2026: 2-0 · Elo 1722 · #20 of 240 · 40.5 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-1

Next: vs UL · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17221500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
50%
Standard-down share
73%
Plays / game
61
Possession / game
29:50

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing PPA / play
#4 · +0.52
Pass success rate
#4 · 52%
Standard-down PPA
#5 · +0.27
Third-down conversion
#5 · 51%
Interception rate
#79 · 2.9%
Rush explosiveness
#74 · 0.95
Turnovers / game
#65 · 1.23
Power success
#50 · 75%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#6 · 0.81
Power success
#33 · 67%
Passing PPA / play
#41 · +0.18
Yards / pass attempt
#54 · 6.8
Line yards / rush
#124 · 3.29
Rush success rate
#121 · 47%
Completion %
#114 · 66%
Passing-down PPA
#93 · +0.34
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Aug 29W1vsSan José State SpartansW 42–26-37.5USC 92%
Sep 4W1vsFresno State BulldogsW 39–0-21.5USC 75%
Sep 12W2vsLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns-28.5USC 87%
Sep 19W3atRutgers Scarlet Knights
Sep 26W4vs#2 Oregon Ducks+5.5
Oct 3W5vs#17 Washington Huskies
Oct 10W6at#18 Penn State Nittany Lions+1.5
Oct 24W8atWisconsin Badgers
Oct 31W9vs#1 Ohio State Buckeyes+7.5
Nov 14W11at#6 Indiana Hoosiers+10
Nov 21W12vsMaryland Terrapins
Nov 28W13atUCLA Bruins-10.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 2 played.