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Nevada (3-4) hosts New Mexico (6-1) at Mackay Stadium on Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET.
Lines post about a week before the game.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNM end zone ← 100 yards → NEV end zone
A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 137). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.
UNM has the clear advantage in turnovers, havoc and rushing; NEV's defense has it in passing and third-down conversion.
UNM's defense has it in finishing drives, third-down conversion, havoc, rushing, passing and turnovers.
UNM offensevs
NEV defenseUNM offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NEV defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
NEV offensevsUNM defenseNEV offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · UNM defense in 6 (6 by a clear margin)
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 137 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
Book-by-book prices appear about a week before the game.
Not enough line history yet: the charts appear once the books have posted this game's numbers more than once.
They meet only some seasons (2 of the 4 in our history).
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the score. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 138 ranked teams, over each team's last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026; 7 in 2026, 6 in 2025). A longer bar = higher in the league (rank 1 = highest, even for points allowed). A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.