NC State Wolfpack
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1554 · #62 of 240 · 8.0 for, 34.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +5.7
- SP+ (2025)
- +4.8
- Talent composite
- 757
- Returning production
- 60%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 51%
- Standard-down share
- 69%
- Plays / game
- 58
- Possession / game
- 29:57
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #8 · 4.69
- Completion %
- #15 · 68%
- Standard-down PPA
- #18 · +0.22
- Rush explosiveness
- #19 · 1.10
- Stuff rate
- #111 · 21%
- Havoc rate faced
- #75 · 15.8%
- Line yards / rush
- #67 · 2.94
- Power success
- #64 · 73%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush success rate
- #19 · 38%
- Power success
- #25 · 65%
- Pass success rate
- #55 · 40%
- Line yards / rush
- #62 · 2.87
- Third-down conversion
- #127 · 46%
- Rush explosiveness
- #123 · 1.09
- Pass explosiveness
- #116 · 1.70
- Passing-down PPA
- #111 · +0.38
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29W1 | at Virginia Cavaliers | L 8–34 | +4 | UVA 66% | — | — |
| Sep 11W2 | vs Richmond Spiders | — | -30.5 | NCSU 75% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at Vanderbilt Commodores | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Appalachian State Mountaineers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs #24 Louisville Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 23W8 | atStanford Cardinal | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vsCalifornia Golden Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Duke Blue Devils | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Syracuse Orange | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at Florida State Seminoles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at North Carolina Tar Heels | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.