UCF Knights
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1518 · #73 of 240 · 73.0 for, 6.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +1.7
- SP+ (2025)
- -1.2
- Talent composite
- 672
- Returning production
- 25%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 53%
- Standard-down share
- 67%
- Plays / game
- 60
- Possession / game
- 29:55
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #1 · 1.25
- Yards / rush
- #30 · 4.9
- Interception rate
- #61 · 2.2%
- Standard-down PPA
- #63 · +0.12
- Stuff rate
- #127 · 24%
- Line yards / rush
- #124 · 2.61
- Power success
- #122 · 62%
- Third-down conversion
- #117 · 34%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Passing-down PPA
- #7 · +0.11
- Pass explosiveness
- #19 · 1.43
- Interceptions forced
- #22 · 3.6%
- Rush explosiveness
- #27 · 0.88
- Power success
- #131 · 85%
- Rush success rate
- #115 · 47%
- Stuff rate forced
- #111 · 16%
- Line yards / rush
- #100 · 3.06
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3W1 | vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | W 73–6 | -43.5 | UCF 74% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at Pittsburgh Panthers | — | +8.5 | PITT 72% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Georgia State Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs TCU Horned Frogs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at #23 Houston Cougars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Oklahoma State Cowboys | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs #14 BYU Cougars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 30W9 | vs Baylor Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Kansas Jayhawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vsArizona State Sun Devils | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 20W12 | vs Iowa State Cyclones | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Colorado Buffaloes | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.