New Orleans Saints
2026: 6-11 (last season) · Elo 1440 · #25 of 32 · 18.0 for, 22.5 against · ATS 9-8
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 63%
- Early-down pass rate
- 59%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 56%
- Pass rate over expected
- −3.0%
- Seconds per play
- 27.3
- No-huddle
- 23%
- Shotgun
- 79%
- Play-action rate
- 19%
- RPO rate
- 6%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- Completion % over expected
- #10 · +1.6
- Interception rate
- #15 · 2.1%
- Pass success rate
- #17 · 45%
- Third-down conversion
- #17 · 40%
- Red-zone touchdown rate
- #32 · 44%
- Explosive rush rate
- #32 · 6.9%
- YAC / completion
- #32 · 4.3
- Yards / rush
- #31 · 3.5
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- EPA / rush
- #4 · −0.12
- Third-down conversion
- #4 · 35%
- Sack rate generated
- #7 · 8.0%
- Explosive rush rate
- #9 · 8.7%
- YAC / completion
- #19 · 5.2
- Explosive pass rate
- #19 · 8.3%
- Interceptions forced
- #18 · 2.1%
- Takeaways / game
- #15 · 1.18
New Orleans Saints · key players
- Tyler Shough QB20.1/29.7 · 217 yds/g · 10-6 TD-INT · +0.01 EPA/db
- Chris Olave WR9.8 tgt/g · 29% share · 73 yds/g · 9 TD · aDOT 11.8
- Juwan Johnson TE6.0 tgt/g · 18% share · 52 yds/g · 3 TD · aDOT 7.6
- Rashid Shaheed WR7.3 tgt/g · 22% share · 55 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 11.3
- Devaughn Vele WR4.3 tgt/g · 13% share · 33 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 11.1
- Alvin Kamara RBQuestionable11.9 car/g · 43 yds/g · 3.6 ypc · 1 TD · −0.22 EPA/car
- Devin Neal RB6.3 car/g · 23 yds/g · 3.6 ypc · 2 TD · −0.14 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | at Detroit Lions | — | +7 | DET 69% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Baltimore Ravens | — | +7.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | — | -3.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 5W4 | vs Atlanta Falcons | — | -2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | at New York Giants | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | — | +2.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | vs Cleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vs Carolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Chicago Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | at Cincinnati Bengals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6W13 | vs Green Bay Packers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | atCarolina Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vs Arizona Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | atAtlanta Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | vsTampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.