Las Vegas Raiders
2026: 3-14 (last season) · Elo 1348 · #32 of 32 · 14.2 for, 25.4 against · ATS 7-10
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
How they play
- Pass rate
- 64%
- Early-down pass rate
- 58%
- Neutral-script pass rate
- 55%
- Pass rate over expected
- −1.7%
- Seconds per play
- 30.3
- No-huddle
- 9%
- Shotgun
- 66%
- Play-action rate
- 25%
- RPO rate
- 4%
Offense · best and worst (of 32)
- YAC / completion
- #11 · 5.3
- Completion % over expected
- #22 · −1.0
- Explosive rush rate
- #24 · 8.2%
- Turnovers / game
- #25 · 1.29
- Yards / rush
- #32 · 3.5
- Rush success rate
- #32 · 31%
- EPA / rush
- #32 · −0.30
- Sack rate
- #32 · 10.7%
Defense · best and worst (of 32)
- Explosive pass rate
- #2 · 6.3%
- YAC / completion
- #9 · 4.7
- Yards / rush
- #10 · 4.0
- EPA / rush
- #14 · −0.07
- Third-down conversion
- #31 · 47%
- Interceptions forced
- #26 · 1.5%
- Takeaways / game
- #23 · 0.94
- Pass success rate
- #23 · 48%
Las Vegas Raiders · key players
- Geno Smith QB20.1/29.9 · 202 yds/g · 19-17 TD-INT · −0.14 EPA/db
- Tre Tucker WR5.4 tgt/g · 19% share · 41 yds/g · 5 TD · aDOT 10.2
- Brock Bowers TE7.2 tgt/g · 23% share · 57 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 6.5
- Michael Mayer TE4.2 tgt/g · 15% share · 27 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 4.8
- Jakobi Meyers WR7.0 tgt/g · 23% share · 50 yds/g · 0 TD · aDOT 8.9
- Ashton Jeanty RBQuestionable15.6 car/g · 57 yds/g · 3.7 ypc · 5 TD · −0.25 EPA/car
- Raheem Mostert RB1.8 car/g · 9 yds/g · 4.7 ypc · 0 TD · −0.41 EPA/car
2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13W1 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | -3.5 | MIA 54% | — | — |
| Sep 20W2 | at Los Angeles Chargers | — | +8.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 27W3 | at New Orleans Saints | — | +3.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 4W4 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | — | +5.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 11W5 | at New England Patriots | — | +8.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 18W6 | vs Buffalo Bills | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 25W7 | vs Los Angeles Rams | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 1W8 | at New York Jets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 8W9 | at San Francisco 49ers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 15W10 | vs Seattle Seahawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 22W11 | at Denver Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 29W12 | at Cleveland Browns | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13W14 | vsLos Angeles Chargers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 20W15 | vsDenver Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 27W16 | vs Tennessee Titans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 3W17 | at Arizona Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 10W18 | atKansas City Chiefs | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.