Probetrics — Sports Analytics

BYU Cougars

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1760 · #17 of 240 · 63.0 for, 7.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs ARIZ · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17601500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
-1.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+14.9
SP+ (2025)
+15.9
Talent composite
689
Returning production
79%

How they play

Pass rate
45%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
32:43

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#5 · 82%
Rushing PPA / play
#26 · +0.20
Rush success rate
#32 · 47%
Standard-down PPA
#36 · +0.17
Interception rate
#123 · 4.2%
Pass explosiveness
#93 · 1.50
Rush explosiveness
#77 · 0.95
Line yards / rush
#57 · 3.00

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing-down PPA
#16 · +0.16
Third-down conversion
#20 · 33%
Takeaways / game
#21 · 1.71
Pass explosiveness
#23 · 1.45
Interceptions forced
#115 · 1.5%
Power success
#95 · 75%
Rush explosiveness
#70 · 0.96
Havoc rate
#64 · 15.8%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsUtah Tech TrailblazersW 63–7-50.5BYU 87%loss-1.0
Sep 12W2vsArizona Wildcats-7BYU 66%
Sep 19W3atColorado State Rams
Oct 3W5atTCU Horned Frogs
Oct 9W6vsIowa State Cyclones
Oct 17W7vs#4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish+10
Oct 24W8atUCF Knights
Oct 31W9vsArizona State Sun Devils
Nov 7W10at#21 Utah Utes+3
Nov 14W11vsBaylor Bears
Nov 21W12atKansas Jayhawks
Nov 28W13vsCincinnati Bearcats

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.