Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Texas Tech Red Raiders

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1896 · #4 of 240 · 33.0 for, 10.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at ORST · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

18961500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
-1.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+21.8
SP+ (2025)
+27.6
Talent composite
768
Returning production
53%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
59
Possession / game
30:10

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Third-down conversion
#12 · 49%
Power success
#15 · 80%
Rush explosiveness
#21 · 1.09
Passing-down PPA
#28 · +0.40
Interception rate
#102 · 3.5%
Line yards / rush
#79 · 2.87
Turnovers / game
#73 · 1.29
Rush success rate
#71 · 43%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rushing PPA / play
#1 · −0.16
Rush success rate
#1 · 29%
Line yards / rush
#1 · 1.94
Yards / rush
#1 · 2.3
Interceptions forced
#91 · 2.1%
Completion %
#34 · 59%
Rush explosiveness
#16 · 0.86
Stuff rate forced
#13 · 23%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsAbilene Christian WildcatsW 33–10-45.5TTU 97%win-1.0
Sep 12W2atOregon State Beavers+0.5TTU 97%
Sep 18W3vs#23 Houston Cougars-13.5
Sep 26W4vsSam Houston Bearkats
Oct 3W5atColorado Buffaloes
Oct 17W7vsArizona State Sun Devils
Oct 24W8atCincinnati Bearcats
Oct 31W9vsArizona Wildcats
Nov 7W10vsWest Virginia Mountaineers
Nov 14W11atOklahoma State Cowboys-15.5
Nov 21W12atBaylor Bears
Nov 26W13vsTCU Horned Frogs-16.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.