Illinois Fighting Illini
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1691 · #26 of 240 · 42.0 for, 23.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +10.4
- SP+ (2025)
- +12.9
- Talent composite
- 704
- Returning production
- 21%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 48%
- Standard-down share
- 71%
- Plays / game
- 58
- Possession / game
- 30:55
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Turnovers / game
- #11 · 0.85
- Pass success rate
- #14 · 48%
- Rush success rate
- #15 · 48%
- Completion %
- #17 · 67%
- Rush explosiveness
- #131 · 0.80
- Yards / rush
- #98 · 3.9
- Rushing PPA / play
- #86 · +0.08
- Stuff rate
- #80 · 19%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #5 · 1.35
- Yards / pass attempt
- #45 · 6.6
- Rushing PPA / play
- #50 · +0.07
- Rush explosiveness
- #50 · 0.92
- Pass success rate
- #132 · 49%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #124 · 4.33
- Interceptions forced
- #124 · 1.4%
- Third-down conversion
- #122 · 45%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3W1 | vsUAB Blazers | W 42–23 | -25.5 | ILL 86% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Duke Blue Devils | — | -7.5 | ILL 62% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Southern Illinois Salukis | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at #1 Ohio State Buckeyes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Purdue Boilermakers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Michigan State Spartans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs #2 Oregon Ducks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at Maryland Terrapins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 6W10 | vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 13W11 | atUCLA Bruins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs #22 Iowa Hawkeyes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Northwestern Wildcats | — | -3.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.