Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1443 · #119 of 240 · 49.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at AUB · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14431500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-20.7
SP+ (2025)
-7.1
Talent composite
603
Returning production
90%

How they play

Pass rate
51%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
66
Possession / game
27:43

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#15 · 1.73
Yards / pass attempt
#50 · 7.6
Completion %
#52 · 64%
Turnovers / game
#54 · 1.15
Interception rate
#129 · 5.1%
Yards / rush
#105 · 3.8
Rush success rate
#105 · 39%
Power success
#98 · 67%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Takeaways / game
#3 · 2.23
Passing PPA / play
#19 · +0.13
Standard-down PPA
#30 · +0.03
Havoc rate
#31 · 17.4%
Third-down conversion
#126 · 46%
Power success
#113 · 78%
Points / scoring opportunity
#97 · 3.94
Rush explosiveness
#92 · 1.01
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsAlcorn State BravesW 49–3-19.5USM 62%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atAuburn TigersAUB 72%
Sep 19W3vsUConn Huskies
Sep 26W4atTulane Green Wave
Oct 6W6atTroy Trojans
Oct 17W7vsArkansas State Red Wolves
Oct 24W8vsLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Oct 31W9atUL Monroe Warhawks
Nov 5W10vsJames Madison Dukes
Nov 14W11atLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
Nov 21W12vsSouth Alabama Jaguars
Nov 28W13atOld Dominion Monarchs

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.