Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Memphis Tigers

2026: 2-0 · Elo 1646 · #36 of 240 · 34.5 for, 22.5 against · ATS 2-0

Next: at BOIS · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16461500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+0.3
SP+ (2025)
+7.6
Talent composite
670
Returning production
6%

How they play

Pass rate
50%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
64
Possession / game
31:38

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rushing PPA / play
#5 · +0.30
Rush explosiveness
#7 · 1.17
Line yards / rush
#11 · 3.33
Rush success rate
#12 · 49%
Pass explosiveness
#94 · 1.50
Interception rate
#80 · 2.9%
Passing PPA / play
#79 · +0.23
Stuff rate
#74 · 19%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Line yards / rush
#13 · 2.57
Stuff rate forced
#29 · 22%
Rush success rate
#32 · 39%
Havoc rate
#32 · 17.4%
Passing PPA / play
#117 · +0.37
Pass success rate
#111 · 45%
Passing-down PPA
#104 · +0.37
Pass explosiveness
#104 · 1.63
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Aug 29W1atUNLV RebelsW 27–21+4UNLV 54%
Sep 5W1vsArkansas State Red WolvesW 42–24-10.5MEM 83%win0.0
Sep 12W2atBoise State Broncos+6.5MEM 55%
Sep 19W3vsUT Martin Skyhawks
Oct 3W5atCharlotte 49ers
Oct 10W6vsUAB Blazers
Oct 16W7atTulane Green Wave
Oct 22W8vsEast Carolina Pirates
Oct 31W9vsArmy Black Knights
Nov 12W11atSouth Florida Bulls
Nov 21W12atNavy Midshipmen
Nov 27W13vsTemple Owls

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 2 played.