Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Colorado State Rams

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1330 · #213 of 240 · 35.0 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs SUU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13301500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
0/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-11.6
SP+ (2025)
-15.6
Talent composite
640
Returning production
40%

How they play

Pass rate
54%
Standard-down share
65%
Plays / game
58
Possession / game
26:50

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#51 · 2.0%
Line yards / rush
#62 · 2.97
Rush success rate
#65 · 44%
Completion %
#72 · 62%
Power success
#131 · 59%
Havoc rate faced
#124 · 18.8%
Third-down conversion
#122 · 33%
Yards / rush
#118 · 3.6

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#20 · 3.7%
Rush explosiveness
#58 · 0.94
Takeaways / game
#60 · 1.33
Completion %
#83 · 63%
Third-down conversion
#130 · 46%
Yards / rush
#122 · 5.0
Line yards / rush
#122 · 3.26
Pass explosiveness
#122 · 1.72
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsWyoming CowboysW 35–13-2.5WYO 50%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vsSouthern Utah ThunderbirdsSUU 61%
Sep 19W3vs#14 BYU Cougars
Sep 26W4atUTSA Roadrunners
Oct 3W5vsOregon State Beavers
Oct 15W7atTexas State Bobcats
Oct 24W8vsSan Diego State Aztecs
Oct 31W9atUtah State Aggies
Nov 7W10vsBoise State Broncos
Nov 14W11atWashington State Cougars
Nov 21W12atFresno State Bulldogs

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.