Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Army Black Knights

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1574 · #57 of 240 · 59.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs USF · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15741500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-2.4
SP+ (2025)
+0.8
Talent composite
304
Returning production
80%

How they play

Pass rate
15%
Standard-down share
73%
Plays / game
66
Possession / game
34:36

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#1 · 2.41
Havoc rate faced
#1 · 8.3%
Stuff rate
#6 · 13%
Passing PPA / play
#7 · +0.47
Interception rate
#133 · 6.3%
Completion %
#131 · 54%
Pass success rate
#106 · 38%
Passing-down PPA
#89 · +0.25

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#20 · 0.87
Pass explosiveness
#38 · 1.48
Passing-down PPA
#52 · +0.24
Yards / pass attempt
#55 · 6.9
Interceptions forced
#125 · 1.4%
Third-down conversion
#121 · 45%
Havoc rate
#120 · 12.7%
Pass success rate
#114 · 45%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsBryant BulldogsW 59–3-37.5ARMY 71%
Sep 12W2vsSouth Florida Bulls-1.5USF 55%
Sep 25W4atTemple Owls
Oct 3W5atLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
Oct 10W6vsTulane Green Wave
Oct 17W7vsFlorida Atlantic Owls
Oct 23W8atTulsa Golden Hurricane
Oct 31W9atMemphis Tigers
Nov 7W10vsAir Force Falcons
Nov 21W12vsEast Carolina Pirates
Nov 28W13atRice Owls
Dec 12W15vsNavy Midshipmen+2.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.