Probetrics — Sports Analytics

UNLV Rebels

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1529 · #68 of 240 · 21.0 for, 27.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at HAW · Sep 5

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15291500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+3.6
SP+ (2025)
+4.3
Talent composite
696
Returning production
15%

How they play

Pass rate
49%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
62
Possession / game
30:43

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rushing PPA / play
#8 · +0.26
Yards / rush
#10 · 5.6
Passing-down PPA
#15 · +0.47
Standard-down PPA
#17 · +0.22
Interception rate
#96 · 3.3%
Havoc rate faced
#86 · 16.0%
Power success
#77 · 71%
Stuff rate
#63 · 18%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#14 · 62%
Third-down conversion
#17 · 33%
Takeaways / game
#24 · 1.71
Passing-down PPA
#27 · +0.20
Rushing PPA / play
#129 · +0.23
Yards / rush
#127 · 5.2
Standard-down PPA
#126 · +0.22
Rush explosiveness
#126 · 1.11
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Aug 29W1vsMemphis TigersL 21–27-4UNLV 54%
Sep 5W1atHawai'i Rainbow Warriors-2.5HAW 52%
Sep 12W2atNorth Texas Mean Green-6.5UNT 73%
Sep 26W4atAkron Zips
Oct 3W5vsCalifornia Golden Bears
Oct 10W6vsNorth Dakota State Bison
Oct 17W7atAir Force Falcons
Oct 31W9vsNorthern Illinois Huskies
Nov 7W10vsWyoming Cowboys
Nov 14W11atNew Mexico Lobos
Nov 21W12atSan José State Spartans
Nov 28W13vsNevada Wolf Pack

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.