South Florida Bulls

2026 season

7th in the American Athletic · 1-2 in the conference

Next: vs UAB · Oct 31

Record

5-2

3-1 home · 2-1 away

Points for / game

26.6

15.1 allowed

Point differential

+11.4

per game

Model winner calls

5/6

locked before kickoff

The South Florida Bulls are 5-2 in 2026, scoring 26.6 and allowing 15.1 points a game. Next: vs UAB Blazers on Oct 31, 2026.

What to know

Biggest strength

Defense: Red-zone touchdown rate ranks #2 of 137 (25%).

Biggest weakness

Defense: Interceptions forced ranks #137 of 137 (0.0%).

Up next

vs UAB Blazers · Oct 31 · USF -8

Season so farHistory

5–2 · avg margin 11.4

+10

FIU

@ARMY

+42

DSU

TEM

USF · bars scaled to the biggest margin (42).

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Turnovers / game

0.57#16

Interception rate

1.1%#20

Rush success rate

48%#25

Havoc rate faced

12.6%#29

▼ Weaknesses

Pass explosiveness

1.27#135

Explosive pass rate

8.2%#114

Stuff rate

21%#110

Line yards / rush

2.85#102

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

of 137 teams

▲ Strengths

Red-zone touchdown rate

25%#2

Rush explosiveness

0.69#5

Points / scoring opportunity

2.59#9

Pass explosiveness

1.39#15

▼ Weaknesses

Interceptions forced

0.0%#137

Takeaways / game

1.00#104

Rush success rate

44%#84

Completion %

63%#82

How they playHistory

Pass rate

46%

Standard-down share

68%

Plays / game

Early-down pass rate

46%

Neutral-script pass rate

47%

Possession / game

28:10

Ratings

Rating 2026

-1.7

Rating 2025

+11.6

Talent

704

Returning

13%

Full stat sheetHistory

2026 season

OffenseDefense

Passing

Points added / pass

+0.17#88

+0.11#45

Pass success rate

45%#46

41%#75

Pass explosiveness

1.27#135

1.39#15

Yards / pass attempt

7.0#89

6.5#41

Explosive pass rate

8.2%#114

7.7%#33

Sack rate

5.6%#82

5.8%#67

Completion %

64%#59

63%#82

Interception rate

1.1%#20

0.0%#137

Rushing

Points added / rush

+0.12#63

−0.06#20

Rush success rate

48%#25

44%#84

Rush explosiveness

0.95#70

0.69#5

Line yards / rush

2.85#102

2.72#40

Stuff rate

21%#110

23%#21

Power success

74%#62

69%#61

Yards / rush

4.3#84

4.0#66

Explosive rush rate

14.6%#63

13.4%#74

Situational

Standard-down points added

+0.08#81

+0.00#51

Passing-down points added

+0.24#73

+0.04#22

Third-down conversion

40%#70

37%#59

Red-zone touchdown rate

67%#45

25%#2

Points / scoring opportunity

4.18#44

2.59#9

Havoc rate faced

12.6%#29

15.6%#71

Turnovers / game

0.57#16

1.00#104

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

per game · Last 17 games · 7 in 2026, 10 in 2025

USFleague averagesolid = scored · striped = allowed

8.2 / 4.5

9.4 / 5.4

9.4 / 2.7

11.1 / 7.3

1st half

17.6 / 9.9

2nd half

20.5 / 10.0

Game

38.1 / 19.9

Points in the 1st half:USF scores 46% · allows 50%league 52%

USF trendsHistory

13 games · Oct 2025 – Oct 2026

Record

9-4

13 games

Points for

35.2

#12 of 138 · league 27.6

Points against

18.3

#123 of 138 · league 25.0

Scoring margin

+16.9

#10 of 138 · league +2.5

Regular season only, the last 13 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026) (7 in 2026, 6 in 2025). Every rank is among the 138 teams with a full sample.

Points by quarter and halfHistory

per game · n = 13

Points in the	For	Against	League avg
1st quarter	7.7#24 of 138	4.3#93 of 138	6.0
2nd quarter	8.8#55 of 138	5.4#113 of 138	8.4
3rd quarter	7.4#25 of 138	2.0#134 of 138	6.0
4th quarter	11.3#2 of 138	6.6#62 of 138	7.0
1st half	16.5#37 of 138	9.7#112 of 138	14.4
2nd half	18.7#4 of 138	8.6#122 of 138	13.1

First half against second halfHistory

Measure	USF	League	n
Share of points scored in the 1st half	46.9%#109 of 138	52.1%	13
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	52.9%#50 of 138	50.9%	13

PaceHistory

Measure	USF	League	n
Plays per game	62.7#103 of 137	65.4	13
Plays faced per game	69.5#16 of 137	64.6	13
Dropback rate	45.9%#98 of 137	48.4%	13

Red zoneHistory

Measure	USF	League	n
Red-zone trips per game	3.46#74 of 137	3.53	13
Red-zone touchdown rate	66.7%#23 of 137	57.6%	13
Red-zone trips allowed per game	3.08#87 of 137	3.29	13
Red-zone touchdown rate allowed	27.5%#137 of 137	55.3%	13

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

USF	Games	Record	Points for	Points against	Scoring margin	Plays per game
All games	13	9-4	35.2#12 of 138	18.3#123 of 138	+16.9#10 of 138	62.7#103 of 137
At home	7	6-1	39.3#14 of 138	12.0#131 of 138	+27.3#8 of 138	63.1#98 of 138
On the road	6	3-3	30.5#22 of 138	25.7#89 of 138	+4.8#28 of 138	62.2#94 of 137
Last 5 games	5	3-2	27.8#61 of 138	14.6#130 of 138	+13.2#25 of 138	59.6#122 of 138
Short rest	1	0-1	24.0—	31.0—	−7.0—	61.0—
Normal rest	10	7-3	36.0#10 of 138	17.5#123 of 138	+18.5#11 of 138	65.2#74 of 138
Long rest	1	1-0	55.0—	23.0—	+32.0—	46.0—

Neutral-site games count as neither home nor road. A slice with few games moves a lot from one game; read it with its n.

Every team's trends, sortable → · This season's games only →

Roster · 2026 · 17

All USF players

Quarterbacks · 2: Michael Van Buren Jr.Luke Kromenhoek
Running Backs · 5: D.J. Crowther Jason Collins Jr.Tray Kinkle Chase Garnett Alvon Isaac
Wide Receivers · 6: Bryson Rodgers Joshua Porter Cameron Seldon Mudia Reuben Arhmad Branch Kenny Odom
Tight Ends · 4: Wyatt Sullivan Evan Dangler Kade Caton Luke Clyburn

Records and scoring from final scores; ranks and tendencies from play-by-play. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

South Florida Bulls

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

USF trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 17

South Florida Bulls

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

USF trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 17

South Florida Bulls

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiUSF's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiUSF's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for USF: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

USF trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 17iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

South Florida Bulls

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Season so fariEach game's final margin: green up = win, red down = loss; taller = bigger margin.◷History

Offense · strengths and weaknessesiUSF's offense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

Defense · strengths and weaknessesiUSF's defense: its four best and four worst league ranks (1 = best). Full list on the Stats tab.◷History

How they playiHow the offense plays (pass rate, pace, formation): style, not good or bad.◷History

RatingsiRating: points vs an average team. Talent: recruiting roster rating. Returning: share of last year's production back.

ScheduleiEvery game this season: results, upcoming kickoffs and spreads, and the model's locked call with its grade.

Full stat sheetiEvery measure for USF: offense (left) and defense (right), with league rank of 137 (1 = best).◷History

Scoring by quarter and halfiPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History

USF trendsiRank 1 = highest in the league, even for points against (allowed most). A rank is not a grade.◷History

Points by quarter and halfiPoints scored and allowed in each quarter, per game. The second half includes overtime.◷History

First half against second halfiThe share of a team's points that came before halftime, and the share of the points it allowed.◷History

PaceiOffensive plays per game, plays the defense faced, and how often the offense dropped back to pass.◷History

Red zoneiDrives that reached the opponent's 20, and how often they ended in a touchdown. Counted by drive.◷History

Home, road, recent form and restiSlices of the same games. Ranks compare the same slice across teams; a slice with few games is unranked.◷History

Roster · 2026 · 17iPlayers at quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end who recorded a stat for the team in the 2026 season, by position.

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

USF trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 17

What to know

Season so farHistory

Offense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

Defense · strengths and weaknessesHistory

How they playHistory

Ratings

Schedule

Full stat sheetHistory

Scoring by quarter and halfHistory

USF trendsHistory

Points by quarter and halfHistory

First half against second halfHistory

PaceHistory

Red zoneHistory

Home, road, recent form and restHistory

Roster · 2026 · 17