Probetrics — Sports Analytics

South Florida Bulls

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1671 · #30 of 240 · 19.0 for, 9.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at ARMY · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16711500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-1.7
SP+ (2025)
+11.6
Talent composite
704
Returning production
13%

How they play

Pass rate
48%
Standard-down share
71%
Plays / game
60
Possession / game
25:24

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing PPA / play
#6 · +0.48
Standard-down PPA
#6 · +0.26
Power success
#9 · 81%
Stuff rate
#10 · 14%
Turnovers / game
#104 · 1.54
Interception rate
#101 · 3.5%
Rush explosiveness
#60 · 0.98
Havoc rate faced
#47 · 13.8%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Takeaways / game
#10 · 1.92
Rush success rate
#14 · 38%
Stuff rate forced
#18 · 23%
Standard-down PPA
#18 · −0.02
Power success
#119 · 79%
Rush explosiveness
#111 · 1.06
Third-down conversion
#78 · 40%
Interceptions forced
#77 · 2.3%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsFlorida International PanthersW 19–9-14.5USF 87%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atArmy Black Knights+1.5USF 55%
Sep 19W3vsDelaware State Hornets
Sep 26W4atBowling Green Falcons
Oct 3W5vsTemple Owls
Oct 8W6atUTSA Roadrunners
Oct 17W7vsKent State Golden Flashes
Oct 31W9vsUAB Blazers
Nov 6W10atEast Carolina Pirates
Nov 12W11vsMemphis Tigers
Nov 21W12atFlorida Atlantic Owls
Nov 27W13vsTulane Green Wave

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.