Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Maryland Terrapins

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1549 · #65 of 240 · 62.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at CONN · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15491500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+5.2
SP+ (2025)
+0.6
Talent composite
720
Returning production
54%

How they play

Pass rate
64%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
59
Possession / game
26:59

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Passing-down PPA
#19 · +0.46
Rush explosiveness
#48 · 1.02
Havoc rate faced
#51 · 14.2%
Turnovers / game
#60 · 1.17
Standard-down PPA
#124 · −0.01
Yards / pass attempt
#121 · 6.2
Interception rate
#118 · 3.9%
Completion %
#112 · 58%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Takeaways / game
#20 · 1.75
Passing PPA / play
#31 · +0.16
Rush explosiveness
#38 · 0.90
Standard-down PPA
#47 · +0.06
Power success
#106 · 77%
Rush success rate
#105 · 46%
Havoc rate
#103 · 14.1%
Third-down conversion
#102 · 42%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsHampton PiratesW 62–0-45.5MD 55%loss0.0
Sep 12W2atUConn Huskies-12.5CONN 62%
Sep 19W3vsVirginia Tech Hokies
Sep 26W4vsUCLA Bruins
Oct 3W5atNebraska Cornhuskers
Oct 10W6at#1 Ohio State Buckeyes
Oct 17W7vsRutgers Scarlet Knights
Oct 31W9vsIllinois Fighting Illini
Nov 7W10atPurdue Boilermakers
Nov 14W11vsWisconsin Badgers
Nov 21W12at#14 USC Trojans
Nov 28W13vs#18 Penn State Nittany Lions

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.