Fresno State Bulldogs
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1508 · #76 of 240 · 0.0 for, 39.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -1.4
- SP+ (2025)
- +1.8
- Talent composite
- 610
- Returning production
- 38%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 45%
- Standard-down share
- 67%
- Plays / game
- 61
- Possession / game
- 32:19
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Completion %
- #46 · 64%
- Rush explosiveness
- #50 · 1.01
- Yards / rush
- #52 · 4.6
- Power success
- #58 · 73%
- Interception rate
- #132 · 5.4%
- Rush success rate
- #119 · 38%
- Standard-down PPA
- #115 · +0.01
- Rushing PPA / play
- #113 · +0.02
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Yards / pass attempt
- #3 · 5.4
- Completion %
- #6 · 54%
- Rush explosiveness
- #8 · 0.82
- Takeaways / game
- #8 · 1.92
- Pass explosiveness
- #93 · 1.60
- Line yards / rush
- #91 · 3.00
- Power success
- #90 · 74%
- Rush success rate
- #78 · 43%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4W1 | at#14 USC Trojans | L 0–39 | +21.5 | USC 75% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vsSacramento State Hornets | — | — | FRES 69% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | atSan José State Spartans | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Rice Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Washington State Cougars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs Boise State Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | atSan Diego State Aztecs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Oregon State Beavers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at Utah State Aggies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | at Texas State Bobcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Colorado State Rams | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.