Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Purdue Boilermakers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1442 · #122 of 240 · 44.0 for, 19.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs WAKE · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14421500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-2.2
SP+ (2025)
-6.1
Talent composite
698
Returning production
48%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
56
Possession / game
28:02

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#9 · 1.0%
Rush explosiveness
#41 · 1.04
Passing-down PPA
#50 · +0.36
Pass success rate
#53 · 43%
Power success
#135 · 56%
Turnovers / game
#119 · 1.75
Points / scoring opportunity
#119 · 3.06
Standard-down PPA
#119 · −0.00

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#8 · 4.2%
Rush explosiveness
#17 · 0.86
Passing-down PPA
#58 · +0.26
Havoc rate
#77 · 15.2%
Yards / pass attempt
#133 · 9.3
Standard-down PPA
#132 · +0.27
Rush success rate
#127 · 49%
Pass success rate
#127 · 48%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 4W1vsIndiana State SycamoresW 44–19-34.5PUR 55%
Sep 12W2vsWake Forest Demon Deacons+3.5WAKE 63%
Sep 19W3atUCLA Bruins
Sep 26W4vs#4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Oct 3W5atIllinois Fighting Illini
Oct 10W6vsMinnesota Golden Gophers
Oct 16W7vs#17 Washington Huskies
Oct 31W9at#18 Penn State Nittany Lions
Nov 7W10vsMaryland Terrapins
Nov 14W11at#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Nov 21W12vsWisconsin Badgers
Nov 28W13at#6 Indiana Hoosiers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.