Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Utah State Aggies

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1392 · #172 of 240 · 17.0 for, 29.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at WASH · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13921500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
0/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-7.9
SP+ (2025)
-3.1
Talent composite
544
Returning production
65%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
62
Possession / game
27:14

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#9 · 1.16
Turnovers / game
#14 · 0.85
Points / scoring opportunity
#16 · 4.49
Rushing PPA / play
#31 · +0.19
Third-down conversion
#112 · 35%
Interception rate
#91 · 3.2%
Stuff rate
#90 · 20%
Completion %
#89 · 60%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#24 · 1.46
Completion %
#31 · 59%
Yards / pass attempt
#61 · 7.0
Power success
#61 · 70%
Interceptions forced
#133 · 1.0%
Rushing PPA / play
#123 · +0.21
Line yards / rush
#115 · 3.18
Yards / rush
#114 · 4.9
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsIdaho State BengalsL 17–29-15.5USU 64%win0.0
Sep 12W2at#17 Washington Huskies+24.5WASH 91%
Sep 19W3at#21 Utah Utes
Sep 26W4vsTroy Trojans
Oct 3W5atBoise State Broncos
Oct 9W6vsWashington State Cougars
Oct 24W8atTexas State Bobcats
Oct 31W9vsColorado State Rams
Nov 7W10vsFresno State Bulldogs
Nov 14W11atSan Diego State Aztecs
Nov 21W12atOregon State Beavers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.