Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Iowa Hawkeyes

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1795 · #12 of 240 · 40.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs ISU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17951500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+14.6
SP+ (2025)
+19.7
Talent composite
723
Returning production
34%

How they play

Pass rate
38%
Standard-down share
73%
Plays / game
55
Possession / game
31:28

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Havoc rate faced
#7 · 11.2%
Power success
#10 · 81%
Line yards / rush
#15 · 3.29
Stuff rate
#15 · 14%
Interception rate
#117 · 3.8%
Passing-down PPA
#109 · +0.20
Yards / pass attempt
#105 · 6.5
Rush explosiveness
#98 · 0.90

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#8 · 1.38
Yards / pass attempt
#14 · 6.0
Third-down conversion
#23 · 34%
Completion %
#24 · 58%
Takeaways / game
#95 · 1.08
Interceptions forced
#86 · 2.2%
Line yards / rush
#74 · 2.92
Stuff rate forced
#71 · 19%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsNorthern Illinois HuskiesW 40–0-31.5IOWA 91%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vsIowa State Cyclones-12.5IOWA 73%
Sep 19W3vsNorthern Iowa Panthers
Sep 26W4at#16 Michigan Wolverines
Oct 3W5vs#1 Ohio State Buckeyes
Oct 9W6at#17 Washington Huskies
Oct 24W8atMinnesota Golden Gophers
Oct 31W9vsWisconsin Badgers
Nov 7W10atNorthwestern Wildcats
Nov 14W11vsPurdue Boilermakers
Nov 21W12atIllinois Fighting Illini
Nov 27W13vsNebraska Cornhuskers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.